As we delve into the real estate market for the month of March, it's evident that each city has its own unique story to tell. From Victoria to Nanaimo, Vancouver to Calgary to Toronto, the trends and statistics vary, showcasing the diverse nature of Canada's real estate landscape. All across the country we are facing high interest rates, high demand for housing due to record immigration numbers and slow down in construction starts. It’s a perfect storm for prices to go even higher in this mostly balanced market.  
Let's take a closer look at the market performance in each of these cities.

Victoria

“We’ve concluded a rather quiet first quarter and are transitioning into the spring market,” said 2024 Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Laurie Lidstone. “Many of our local REALTOR® members are noting that more shoppers are coming into the market – but this has not necessarily translated into sales numbers. This may change as we move into what is historically the busiest market of the year.”

The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in March 2023 was $1,258,300. The benchmark value for the same home in March 2024 increased by 1.7 per cent to $1,279,300, up from February’s value of $1,247,400. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in March 2023 was $549,000 while the benchmark value for the same condominium in March 2024 increased by 3.3 per cent to $567,300, up from the February value of $557,000.

FULL REPORT HERE

Vancouver
The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)2 reports that residential sales3 in the region totalled 2,415 in March 2024, a 4.7 per cent decrease from the 2,535 sales recorded in March 2023. This was 31.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (3,512). “If you’re finding the weather a little chillier than last spring, you may find some comfort in knowing that the market isn’t quite as hot as it was last spring either, particularly if you’re a buyer,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “Despite the welcome increase in inventory, the overall market balance continues inching deeper into sellers’ market territory, which suggests demand remains strong for well-priced and well located properties.”

The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,972,400. This represents a 7.2 per cent increase from February 2023 and a 1.5 per cent increase compared to January 2024. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $770,700. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,094,700

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 10,552, a 22.5 per cent increase compared to March 2023 (8,617). This is 6.3 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (9,923).
Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for March 2024 is 23.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 18.2 per cent for detached homes, 31.3 per cent for attached, and 25.8 per cent for apartments.

Sales of detached homes in March 2024 reached 694, a 5.4 per cent decrease from the 734 detached sales recorded in March 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,007,900. This represents a 7.4 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 1.8 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,207 in March 2024, a 7.9 per cent decrease compared to the 1,311 sales in March 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $777,500. This represents a 5.7 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Attached home sales in March 2024 totaled 495, a 6.2 per cent increase compared to the 466 sales in March 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,112,800. This represents a 5 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 1.7 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

FULL REPORT HERE

Calgary
March reflects strong seller's market and price increases.
“We have not seen March conditions this tight since 2006, which is also the last time we reported high levels of interprovincial migration and a months-of-supply below one month," said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “Moreover, we are entering the third consecutive year of a market favouring the seller as the two-year spike in migration has driven up demand and contributed to the drop in re-sale and rental supply. Given supply adjustments take time, it is not a surprise that we continue to see upward pressure on home prices.”

Inventory levels have declined across properties priced below $1,000,000, with the steepest declines occurring for homes priced below $500,000. In March, there were 2,532 units in inventory, 22 per cent lower than last year and half the levels we traditionally see in March.

Detached homes:
Low inventories compared to sales caused the months of supply to drop below one month, driving further price gains. The unadjusted detached benchmark price rose to $739,700, a monthly gain of nearly three per cent and a year over-year gain of 14 per cent. The largest year-over-year gains occurred in the most affordable North East and East districts.
Semi-Detached:
Limited supply and growing demand drove further price gains in March. The unadjusted benchmark price reached $658,000, nearly three per cent higher than last month and a 14 per cent gain over last March. Prices rose across all districts in the city, with year-over-year gains ranging from a low of 11 per cent in the highest-priced area of the City Centre to 25 per cent in the lowest-priced market in the East district.
Row:
The decline in inventory levels was driven by properties priced below $400,000, as inventory levels rose 35 per cent for units priced above $400,000. The unadjusted benchmark price trended up in March, reaching $448,700, a monthly gain of nearly three per cent and over 20 per cent higher than levels reported at this time last year. The higher-priced City Centre reported the slowest growth in benchmark prices, with the highest growth reported in the city's most affordable districts.
Apartments:
Demand for lower-priced homes has supported the growth of apartment-style properties, but the tight conditions have also contributed to further price gains. In March, the benchmark prices reached $337,700, over two per cent higher than last month and 17 per cent higher than levels reported last March.

FULL REPORT HERE

Toronto

“We have seen a gradual improvement in market conditions over the past quarter. More buyers have adjusted to the higher interest rate environment. At the same time, homeowners may be anticipating an improvement in market conditions in the spring, which helps explain the marked increase in new listings so far this year. Assuming we benefit from lower borrowing costs in the near future, sales will increase further, new listings will be absorbed, and tighter market conditions will push selling prices higher,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

“The average selling price edged up in comparison to last year as we moved through the first quarter of 2024. Price growth is expected to accelerate during the spring and even more so in the second half of the year, as sales growth catches up with listings growth and sellers’ market conditions start to emerge in many neighbourhoods. Lower borrowing costs in the months ahead will help fuel increased demand for ownership housing,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

The average price of a detached home in the area code (416) is $1,708,437. Semi-detached: $1,300,403. Townhouse $999,771. Condo:$729,392.

FULL REPORT HERE

Nanaimo
MARCH HOUSING MARKET CALMER THAN EXPECTED
“As we reported last month, there is a lot of interest among potential buyers,” says Jason Yochim, VIREB Chief Executive Officer. “REALTORS® are definitely busy, although the statistics don’t reflect that. We expect it will be June before the numbers catch up with pent-up demand.”
“The VIREB area is geographically widespread, so market conditions in Nanaimo won’t be the same as in Port Alberni,” adds Yochim. “However, properties priced appropriately for their location attract the most interest and sell more quickly than overpriced homes. That’s why the knowledge a local REALTOR® brings to the table is invaluable.”
In Campbell River, the benchmark price of a single-family home was $677,500 last month, up eight per cent from the previous year. The Comox Valley’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by 10 per cent to $856,300. In the Cowichan Valley, the benchmark price was $753,200, a three per cent increase from March 2023. Nanaimo’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by six per cent to reach $794,900, while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark price increase by two per cent to $867,300. The cost of a benchmark single-family home in Port Alberni was $528,800, up four per cent from the previous year. For the North Island, the benchmark price of a single-family home rose by four per cent to $407,100.

FULL REPORT HERE

Quadra Island Real Estate:

March had a busy start on Quadra Island, with 7 new listings, 3 pending, 1 sold. All prices were between $419,000 and 1,199,000, one at $6,5000,000. Out of the 11 listings 3 are over the million dollar mark. Quadra Island has currently 21 active listings.
March activity on Quadra Island here

Current Listings on Quadra Island here

Cortes Island Real Estate:
Cortes saw 2 new listings, one of which was a re-list, one sold, and 1 expired. Cortes currently has 10 active listings.
March activity on Cortes Island here

CORTES ISLAND REAL ESTATE LISTINGS

 In conclusion, statistics can be manipulated and don’t necessarily show the whole picture. It’s very clear that Canada’s immigration policy is flawed and our country is taking more immigrants than new housing builds. This is creating a massive shortage of housing across the whole country. With 500,000 new immigrants expected this year the demand is not going to slow down much. Let’s be realistic, rents can not continue to go up endlessly. There is a cap on tenant’s ability to pay rent. Are we nearing that cap? Based on the most current sales it clearly appears that less transactions happen. In the month of March specifically, Vancouver has seen 31% less transactions than the 10 year seasonal average. Vancouver Island Real Estate Board: Campbell River 45% decline YoY of transactions. Comox 36% Less transactions than last year. Nanaimo 11% less, Parksville 31% less, Port Alberni almost 7% less, Cowichan Valley is the only area that has seen more sales than last year with 1.72% growth. Calgary is still in a very strong seller’s market with almost 10% growth in transactions! Toronto had less transactions but it’s in single digits still. Let’s see what happens in the next couple of weeks with the start of spring market. Last year spring market had an earlier start compared to this year. Maybe we need some good weather to wake up the buyers or maybe this is how things will be this year. That remains to be seen. I can’t predict the future, but I feel that the market will be much slower this year. The key to selling your home today is to make sure the property is in good shape and priced very well, otherwise it won’t sell; just like many new listings that are coming to the market now.